Revision of economy booster from January 13, 2008 - 3:57pm

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With economists increasingly leery a recession is on the horizon, DC is batting around "stimulus" ideas to give the economy a little pre-emptive boost.

Not all economists and policy advisors agree if/when a stimulus package would be necessary (or if one would be effective) and there are also different schools of thought on what are the best ways to inject energy back into the US economy.

Congress and the president may be proposing a joint stimulus packages in late January. For the time being, here are a couple of ways they may go:

Supply Side

Republicans think a sure bet is to give businesses a leg up by cutting down on corporate taxes - either wholesale or through targetted cuts to promote investment.

Demand Side

Both parties like the idea of tax cuts - or other forms of cash handouts - to consumers like you and me), but they don't necessarily share views on how or who to give those cuts to.

  • Everyone gets a rebate: As in 2002, the government could send everyone a rebate check to get more spending cash in our pockets.
  • Targetted to low and middle class families: Some economists argue that you get the biggest bang for your tax cut buck by focusing on poorer Americans who are more likely to spend any extra cash immediately, rather than put some away for retirement (could come in the form of a tax rebate or a short term cut to payroll taxes).
  • Other benefits: similar to tax cuts for the under-wealthy, extending or enlarging benefits - for unemployment, "trade adjustment assistance," or food stamps - also gets spending money into the hands of people ready to spend it. There's growing talk of "wage insurance" programs that would supplement some income for downsized workers who have to take a major paycut.
  • Long term cuts: given that the Bush tax cuts of '01 and '02 are set to expire in 2010, the GOP may also want to argue that this is a good time to make sure those tax cuts stay in place by voting to extend the Bush cuts past 2010.

Public-works Side

A third way to go is to invest a lot of cash into building infrastructure - roads, airports, etc. - which has the double advantage of creating jobs in the short term and investing in future business (which benefits from a strong infrastructure).

How much are we talking here?

Of course, you never know until the law is passed and the checks are drawn, but there's talk of DC putting up $100 billion with economists saying anywhere from $75 - $250 billion is need to jump start the economy.

We didn't make this up: We just stole it from NYT, NYT,

 

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